“Our Football Betting System” focuses on achieving a win rate of over 50% by leveraging sports statistics and specific odds. The system proposes a dynamic staking plan where the bet amount is calculated to recover previous losses and secure a target profit, contrasting with the riskier method of flat betting. It promotes betting on “over-under” markets with specific odds (1.40 – 1.70), claiming these offer a better chance of success based on historical data provided in a table. Furthermore, the text introduces a piece of software, “Betting Manager,” designed to help users manage their bankroll and calculate the necessary stakes, illustrating its effectiveness through detailed betting examples and profit projections.
Extremely Profitable Betting System [Winning Rate 50%+]
This system is based on statistics.
The target is to win the number of bets needed, depending on the strategy you follow.
The choices we make give profitable results.
Analyzing our thoughts
The odds of a bookmaker for the home win of a team are relevant to the possibility of the win being achieved.
Below is a table of over-under statistics depending on the odds.
| Odds Under - Over | Games | Under % | Over % |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.40 - 2.00 1.45 - 2.00 1.45 - 2.10 1.50 - 1.90 1.50 - 2.00 1.50 - 2.05 1.53 - 1.95 1.55 - 1.85 1.55 - 1.90 1.55 - 1.93 1.55 - 1.95 1.55 - 2.00 1.57 - 1.90
1.95 - 1.55 2.00 - 1.45 2.00 - 1.50 2.10 - 1.40 2.10 - 1.45 2.20 - 1.40 2.30 - 1.35 2.35 - 1.35 2.50 - 1.30 |
452 90 952 272 1445 57 101 341 1327 464 929 70 395
774 75 1415 68 1088 616 211 121 141 |
62.6% 65.6% 62.6% 61.4% 58.3% 64.9% 50.5% 52.5% 55.8% 56.9% 56.9% 55.7% 60.3%
47.4% 41.3% 46.5% 26.5% 42.4% 39.1% 35.5% 38.8% 33.3% |
37.4% 34.4% 37.4% 38.6% 41.7% 35.1% 49.5% 47.5% 44.2% 43.1% 43.1% 44.3% 39.7%
52.6% 58.7% 53.5% 73.5% 57.5% 60.9% 64.5% 61.2% 66.7% |
You can see that lower Over/Under odds tend to deliver a significantly higher success rate. For example, bets placed at odds below 1.45 achieve a success rate of approximately 63%. For odds below 1.55, the success rate averages around 56%. Similarly, Over 1.50 bets succeed about 54% of the time, while Over 1.40 bets perform close to 62%.
It’s clear that if you place 100 bets under these odds, you can expect to win approximately 54 to 63 of them.
However, as we all know, a flat-betting approach — wagering the same amount on every bet — will generally lead to losses over time.
The key lies in applying effective strategies that leverage your higher number of wins to generate consistent profit. Our goal is to use probabilities to validate our betting decisions and improve overall performance.
Why focus on Over/Under bets?
Certain leagues and teams naturally align with this approach. For example, in the Dutch Eredivisie, many teams are known for their attacking mindset — they aim to score as many goals as possible. It’s a fundamental part of their football culture.
Conversely, some teams specialize in maintaining results and managing games effectively. Each team plays according to its strengths and philosophy, and understanding these patterns allows us to identify profitable opportunities.
Moving to the System
This system is designed to ensure a consistent profit after each winning bet.
To successfully apply this strategy, we aim for a win rate above 50% of the total number of bets placed. Therefore, it is crucial to select odds that, over time, yield a success rate greater than 50%.
I recommend focusing on Over/Under markets with odds ranging between 1.40 and 1.70, unless there is a clear opportunity with higher odds (above 1.70) supported by strong probabilities.
Let’s consider a practical example that targets a 50% success rate:
Starting capital: $200
Target profit per winning bet: $5
Average odds: 1.57
Based on these parameters, I have developed a Windows application called Betting Manager, which helps track and manage your betting performance. The software includes a built-in calculator that automatically recommends your next stake based on previous results and desired profit levels.
If you’d like to learn more about how the application works, click [here].
At the end of this guide, I will also explain how to perform these calculations manually—without using the software.
Example:
Using the built-in calculator, we input our parameters, and the system suggests an initial bet of $8.77.
Example Scenario: Step-by-Step Betting Process
1. First Bet
Stake: $8.77
Outcome: Loss
Balance: $200 – $8.77 = $191.23
2. Second Bet
We open the built-in calculator again and include the previous losing bet in our calculation.
Recommended stake: $24.16
Outcome: Win
Return: $37.93
Net profit: $37.93 – $24.16 = $13.77
Updated balance: $191.23 + $13.77 = $205.00
As you can see, even with a 50% win rate, we successfully recovered the previous loss and achieved our target profit.
Using the Betting Manager application’s built-in calculator, we can continue following each step systematically.
Continuing the Sequence
Starting balance: $205.00
3. Next Round
Bet: $8.77
Outcome: Win
Profit: $5.00
New balance: $210.00
We now restart the process from the beginning.
4. Next Round
Bet: $8.77
Outcome: Loss
Balance: $210 – $8.77 = $201.23
We record this loss in the Betting Manager application.
5. Next Bet
Calculated stake: $24.16
Outcome: Loss
Balance: $201.23 – $24.16 = $177.07
At this stage, we have two consecutive losses:
$8.77
$24.16
However, when calculating the next stake, we do not include all previous losses. We only consider the most recent loss ($24.16).
This approach ensures that the bet sizes remain manageable and prevents the risk level from escalating too quickly.
6. Next Bet
Stake: $51.16
Outcome: Win
Return: $80.32
Net profit: $80.32 – $51.16 = $29.16
Updated balance: $177.07 + $29.16 = $206.23
We then erase the previous lost bets ($8.77 and $24.16) and continue.
7. Next Sequence
We now include only the earlier unrecouped loss ($8.77):
Stake: $24.16
Outcome: Loss
Balance: $182.07
Record the new sequence: $8.77, $24.16
8. Next Bet
Stake: $51.16
Outcome: Win
Return: $80.32
Profit: $29.16
Balance: $182.07 + $29.16 = $211.23
Erase the previous lost bets and include the one remaining unrecouped loss ($8.77).
9. Next Bet
Stake: $24.16
Outcome: Win
Return: $37.93
Net profit: $13.77
Updated balance: $211.23 + $13.77 = $225.00
Erase the last lost bet and start again.
Performance Summary
Across these six bets, we achieved a 50% success rate, yet still:
Recovered all previous losses
Earned $5 profit per winning bet
Grew our account from $200 to $225
Your profit per bet depends on your initial bankroll and the unit size you choose.
Remember: your actual win rate may be higher than 50%, especially when selecting statistically favorable odds. The Betting Manager application helps you maintain discipline by managing your bankroll and calculating each stake precisely.
Managing Risk and Drawdowns
Even with a sound system, losing streaks can occur.
By working only with your available balance, you protect the majority of your capital.
If you encounter a series of losses and the stakes become too high, split your lost bets into smaller parts to minimize exposure.
Example:
Instead of recording two losses as $8.77 and $24.16, you can break them down as:
$8.77 → $8.06 → $8.06 → $8.04
Then, aim to recover each smaller amount individually.
This approach reduces the size of your next stake and keeps your strategy sustainable.
And don’t worry — you will also experience winning streaks.
Over time, statistics and probability work in your favor.
Formula
Next Bet = (Target Profit + Previous Lost Bet) / (Odds – 1)
Final Thoughts
Always remember: success in betting is not about turning $100 into $10,000 in ten days.
Ask yourself:
Would you rather make money quickly with high risk and lose it all…
or grow your account steadily with minimal risk?
Aim for consistent, sustainable growth — for example, a 30% monthly increase.
| Month | Account Balance | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 1/2025 | $1,000 | — |
| 2/2025 | $1,300 | +30% |
| 3/2025 | $1,690 | +30% |
| 4/2025 | $2,197 | +30% |
| 5/2025 | $2,856 | +30% |
| 6/2025 | $3,713 | +30% |
| 7/2025 | $4,827 | +30% |
| 8/2025 | $6,275 | +30% |
| 9/2025 | $8,157 | +30% |
| 10/2025 | $10,605 | +30% |
| 11/2025 | $13,786 | +30% |
| 12/2025 | $17,922 | +30% |
| 1/2026 | $23,298 | +30% |
A steady 30% monthly gain can deliver remarkable results — even with a 50% win rate.
And with accurate odds and proper strategy, your success rate may be even higher.
Consider also following trusted professional tipsters who specialize in team analysis and can provide a 60–65% success rate at similar odds.
Taking advantage of Value Bets, the success rate can reach 60%.
In Our Predictions, we will follow the current betting management strategy using the “Betting Manager” software to verify the process.